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David Lubin

  • Tuesday, 15 October, 2024
    Markets InsightEmerging markets
    The inflation risk for emerging markets

    Fiscal indiscipline looms as the biggest threat after central bank battles to slow rising prices

    The image shows the Central Bank of Brazil building in Brasília, featuring its distinctive modern architecture with two tall towers. In the foreground, there are streetlights and a blurred silhouette of a person walking.
  • Wednesday, 29 November, 2023
    Markets InsightEmerging market investing
    Why investors should lament the rise of Global South term

    The shift away from emerging markets reflects an eclipsing of economics by politics

    Mexican 50 peso banknotes
  • Friday, 14 July, 2023
    Markets InsightGlobal trade
    Has the global trade recession already started?

    Economic forces put risk appetite of investors towards emerging economies in jeopardy

    A container ship docked at the container terminal in Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico
  • Friday, 3 February, 2023
    Markets InsightChinese economy
    China’s recovery might be a bit less than meets the eye

    Investors should not assume this upturn in economic growth will be just like previous ones

    Visitors take pictures next to lanterns at a park in Beijing
  • Monday, 3 October, 2022
    Markets InsightEmerging markets
    Is a US recession the best thing that can happen to emerging economies? 

    A loosening of financial conditions would work in favour of more capital inflows

  • Tuesday, 28 June, 2022
    Markets InsightUS Dollar
    A stronger dollar might hit emerging economies harder this cycle

    When inflation is accelerating, a currency depreciation is more likely to add a kicker to domestic price pressures

    US dollar notes looking like engineering cogs
  • Friday, 1 April, 2022
    Markets InsightEmerging market investing
    Is it time to worry about an emerging markets crisis?

    Increased risk aversion, a shift in approach by the IMF and slowing trade combine to hit developing economies

  • Friday, 3 September, 2021
    Markets InsightGlobal Economy
    The downside of the economics of self-reliance

    If a coming investment push is inward-looking, it might substitute global trade rather than complement it

    A construction worker guides a crane carrying lumber as concrete is poured at the Sixth Street Viaduct replacement project in Los Angeles, California
  • Wednesday, 3 March, 2021
    Markets InsightEmerging markets
    Will ‘copycat economics’ in emerging markets have to end?

    Some countries will find it difficult to match the fiscal expansion and central bank support in developed economies

    Brazil has a particularly high public debt burden, with Citi estimating it comes to almost 95 per cent of GDP
  • Wednesday, 5 August, 2020
    Markets InsightUS-China relations
    US-China tensions feed into the geopolitics of monetary policy

    When the Federal Reserve advances, the People’s Bank of China retreats

    To some extent, the People’s Bank of China followed a common playbook — but not for long
  • Tuesday, 21 April, 2020
    Markets InsightGlobal Economy
    IMF’s $1tn lending power is not all it is cracked up to be

    The organisation’s response to the Covid-19 crisis is hamstrung by its conditions 

  • Monday, 30 March, 2020
    beyondbricsCoronavirus
    Does coronavirus herald capital controls?

    Policymakers in emerging markets may have no choice but to restrict capital movement

    KORCZOWA, POLAND - MARCH 28: A Stop sign is pictured next to an unofficial Ukrainian bus stop at the Polish-Ukrainian border Korczowa on March 28, 2020 in Korczowa, Poland.
  • Friday, 6 March, 2020
    beyondbricsCoronavirus
    China’s post-virus stimulus: no silver bullet

    The world should not expect another bailout by Beijing

    Steam rises from underground pipes in Beijing, where signs of economic life are starting to emerge
  • Thursday, 3 October, 2019
    Emerging markets
    ‘Systematic error’ driving overblown EM growth forecasts
  • Wednesday, 28 August, 2019
    beyondbricsRenminbi
    A renminbi ‘weapon’ that is liable to backfire

    There are four good reasons for Beijing to think before shooting

    Chinese one-hundred yuan banknotes are arranged for a photograph in Seoul, South Korea, on Monday, Dec. 21, 2015. The offshore yuan climbed the most in a week on optimism that China's leaders are focusing on boosting growth in the world's second-largest economy. Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg
  • Tuesday, 16 April, 2019
    beyondbricsEmerging markets
    China’s stimulus: not like it used to be

    Flip-flopping between growth and debt targets weakens positive feedback loop

    FILE PHOTO: A China yuan note is seen in this illustration photo May 31, 2017.     REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration/File Photo
  • Friday, 19 October, 2018
    beyondbricsBelt and Road Initiative
    China’s Belt and Road at 5: ‘one-to-many’ or ‘many-to-many’?

    Dollar constraint may lead to more multilateral approach in Beijing’s initiative

    epa06933186 A fishing boat return to the Nanliao Port in Hsinchu City, western Taiwan, 07 August 2018. According to media reports, China plans to extend its high-speed rail to Taiwan by building a 135-kilometre rail tunnel under the Taiwan Strait, which will connect Pingtan in China's Fujian Province with Hsinchu on Taiwan's western coast. The world's longest undersea tunnel between Taiwan and China, also part of President Xi Jinping's 'One Belt, One Road' strategy, is planned to be ready by 2030. EPA-EFE/DAVID CHANG
  • Saturday, 14 July, 2018
    EM SquaredSteve Johnson
    Two-decade slide in emerging market inflation comes to an end Premium content

    Currency sell-off expected to accelerate pick-up in inflation

  • Tuesday, 24 April, 2018
    EM SquaredSteve Johnson
    Emerging market current account surplus falls to 20-year low Premium content

    Global trade patterns start to normalise with China potentially heading for deficit

    FILE PHOTO: Containers are seen at the Yangshan Deep Water Port, part of the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, in Shanghai, China, September 24, 2016.   REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo
  • Monday, 29 January, 2018
    News in-depthTrading Post
    Beware emerging markets’ rising public debt levels

    Investors in search of yield warned of fiscal challenges ahead

    Investors are being urged to hang on to their hats
  • Sunday, 22 January, 2017
    EM SquaredSteve Johnson
    China’s reliance on exports poised to fall below that of India Premium content

    2017 could see first reversal since China opened its economy in 1979

    Aerial photo of the front end of a large fully loaded container ship.
  • Thursday, 9 June, 2016
    EM SquaredSteve Johnson
    Emerging markets poised for ‘rebound’ Premium content

    Balance of payments surpluses and improving credit conditions to bolster growth, says GAM

    An electronic board displays the figure of the Jakarta Composite Index, top, inside the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in Jakarta, Indonesia, on Friday, Jan. 15, 2016. A deadly gun-and-suicide bomb attack claimed by Islamic State in central Jakarta shows the growing reach of the jihadi network from outside its base in the Middle East. Photographer: Dimas Ardian/Bloomberg
  • Tuesday, 29 March, 2016
    EM SquaredSteve Johnson
    Emerging market portfolio flows hit 21-month high Premium content

    Foreign investors pour $37bn into the sector in March, but sentiment remains precarious

    Investors look at screens showing stock market movements at a securities company in Beijing on January 7, 2016. Chinese markets were suspended on January 7 for the second day this week after they fell more than seven percent, leading an Asia-wide sell-off as China weakened the value of the yuan currency by the most since August. AFP PHOTO / FRED DUFOUR / AFP / FRED DUFOUR
  • Thursday, 18 February, 2016
    EM SquaredSteve Johnson
    Rising tide of protectionism imperils global trade Premium content

    ‘Worrying’ trend threatens to reverse globalisation, with India, Russia, US the leading culprits

    epa05152303 (FILE) A file photo dated 18 August 2013 showing the world's biggest container vessel Mærsk Mc-Kinney Moeller arriving at the container terminal during its maiden voyage in Bremerhaven, Germany. Danish shipping and oil group AP Moller-Maersk said 10 February 2016 its full-year 2015 net profit plunged 82 per cent due to lower freight rates and oil prices and writedowns of oil assets. The net profit of 925 million dollars compared with 5.2 billion dollars in 2014. The 2014 results were affected by gains from sales of stakes in a supermarket group and other assets. Turnover in 2015 declined 7.4 billion dollars year-on-year to 40.3 billion dollars. The group that operates Maersk Line, the world's biggest container shipper, said average freight rates dropped during the year. Weaker demand affected transportation to emerging markets as well as imports to Europe and Latin America, it said. EPA/INGO WAGNER
  • Friday, 5 February, 2016
    FT AlphavilleIzabella Kaminska
    Petrodollars as the new vendor-financing feedback loop of hell
Previous page You are on page 1 Next page

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